Eurovision 2015: second semi final is coming

Tonight we will have the second semifinal of ESC 2015, and we will know the last 10 finalists fro saturday's final. We still have many favourites in this semifinal, making it more stronger than the other one, for many people.´

Contorversies

If there are more favourites in this semifinal, it's not because if the controversies. Only the polish song is being talked by other reasons besides the song. Monika is so far the only singer to be on stage on a wheelchair in the History of this competition. Many poeple is arguing that people will vote for Poland not for the song but only because of her physical condition.

Voting

There are also some political voting in this semi-final. We have three scandinavian countries - Iceland, Sweden and Norway, two baltic neighbors - Latvia and Lithuania, and Israel that usually gives points to Azerbaijan.
We have two countries that were never benefited by the political voting - Poland (last year was a n exception), Switzerland and especially Czech Republic (that was two times last in the semifinal and second to last the other time).

(Possible) qualifiers

As I said before, there are many favourites in this semifinal. Sweden, Norway and Azerbaijan are the biggest favourites! Despite the recent unfair places, Israel and Slovenia are among the favourites. Even being very difficult, Slovenia can win this semifinal. Many think that, fearing a permanent withdraw from the Eurovision, many people will vote for Czech Republic. We need to admit that its their best entry.
As for Iceland, even being far away from originality, the type of melody and the neighbors will help Iceland to qualify.
Even being one of the weakest songs, Cyprus is among the possible qualifiers for many people.
Poland for the controverse and the quality of Monika's song, Malta and Latvia have also some chances to advance to the big final on saturday. Ireland and Montenegro have also some chances, even with the absence of neighbors for Montenegro: people believe that the juries will help these songs.
San Marino, Switzerland and Portugal are the least possible qualifiers according to many people's oppinion. Not having any block voting in their side, even with good performances, only the juries could help this three entries.

Will we have some surprises like in the last semi final, or will it be all according to the predicitions? Or will we be speechless about the qualifications and non-qualifications?